Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.032145 1.246829 1.474474 1.731966 2.013349 2.309883 2.644421
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.742462 1.034807 1.367844 1.767271 2.226017 2.730020 3.319525
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.575971 0.899265 1.287998 1.773518 2.349373 2.998355 3.773600
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.421498 0.750597 1.170595 1.717432 2.386577 3.158773 4.098859
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.307252 0.630454 1.068768 1.662349 2.409341 3.289188 4.377497
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.227077 0.541421 0.994423 1.630728 2.451604 3.435549 4.668869
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.182141 0.496324 0.972824 1.661679 2.567175 3.666610 5.057930
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.140889 0.447801 0.939911 1.672628 2.653816 3.860060 5.400478
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.099294 0.387026 0.881218 1.642491 2.683125 3.979797 5.651801
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.088703 0.385194 0.912169 1.737048 2.875290 4.302182 6.150006
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.080355 0.386137 0.946620 1.836245 3.073732 4.632975 6.659468
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074443 0.391233 0.987319 1.944399 3.284454 4.979902 7.189783
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.065115 0.388538 1.019177 2.047177 3.498784 5.345110 7.760527
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048819 0.362054 1.008665 2.087344 3.629921 5.607318 8.208178
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032730 0.326744 0.977928 2.093726 3.712308 5.805150 8.574171
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016000 0.272752 0.905863 2.032205 3.697898 5.876479 8.781320
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.005859 0.225274 0.837953 1.971471 3.680400 5.940692 8.977019
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001425 0.190604 0.789204 1.936628 3.695746 6.044688 9.219913
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000314 0.176885 0.783250 1.970747 3.809280 6.277814 9.626674
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.159012 0.765043 1.982817 3.890040 6.467148 9.977705
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.132799 0.721940 1.949595 3.902784 6.564709 10.210752
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.137740 0.757628 2.053746 4.118828 6.935434 10.795249
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.143603 0.795897 2.162767 4.342598 7.317195 11.394814